A bunker fuel and oil report, detailing the day per day trading patterns
and prices in the market.The report is prepared from OW Risk Management
and covers all major bunker fuel oil markets around the world,
including all major ports, ranging from Singapore to Rotterdam.
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Crude prices extended their current
weakness closing lower yesterday. The November WTI
futures fell -$1.39 to settle at $89.98/bbl yesterday
and November Brent closed at $110.04/bbl, slipping
-$0.41. Crude Oil is under pressure with too much
uncertainty surrounding Europe debts; particularly Spain
and Greece. The Spanish ten year bond yield soared to 6%
as confidence remains shaky. The Euro fell against the
US dollar and equities generally also closed lower. The
US weekly inventory data by the US Energy Department
reported a bullish picture showing mostly draws from
crude to product stockpiles which capped further crude
losses yesterday. Today, the market will be looking at a
series of US economic data like the weekly jobless
claims figures, durable goods orders, pending home sales
and also the revised and final US 2nd Quarter GDP
figures. This morning, crude is slightly
higher.
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The Northwest European bunker fuel oil
prices extended their weakness on Wednesday with
delivered 380cst product in Rotterdam posting app.$16/mt
losses versus previous day close. Cargo prices were even
weaker, assessed down by nearly $19/mt. Despite lower
prices in the area, suppliers did not see much demand.
The Singapore fuel oil markets came off around -$7.5
during the morning window yesterday tracking crude
movements. The demand was said to be slightly below
average despite the lower outright prices and delivered
bunker premiums remained around $7.5 above cargo prices.
Bunker fuel oil swaps lost app.$8.50/mt at the front and
nearly $5/mt at the back end of the forward curve for
Singapore papers. Rotterdam FOB barges were app.$2/mt
stronger along the curve. Viscosity spread between
180cst and 380cst papers shrank again, trading below
$13/mt at the front of the forward curve. This morning
both markets are trading higher.
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Settlement
& Indications (mid values) |
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Product |
Yesterday's
Values |
Forward
Indications |
Product |
Change |
Last |
Dir. |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Q113 |
Q213 |
2013 |
NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month) |
(1.39) |
89.98 |
↑ |
90.20 |
90.61 |
91.09 |
91.67 |
91.94 |
90.63 |
ICE Brent Swap (1st month) |
(0.41) |
110.04 |
↑ |
109.88 |
109.17 |
108.52 |
107.33 |
105.64 |
109.19 |
ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month) |
(15.00) |
962.25 |
↑ |
965.92 |
958.25 |
951.50 |
936.92 |
920.75 |
921.17 |
3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm |
(19.00) |
616.25 |
↑ |
619.50 |
616.00 |
613.00 |
608.50 |
601.00 |
597.25 |
3.5% Cargoes FOB Med |
(13.50) |
612.25 |
↑ |
611.75 |
609.50 |
607.00 |
603.50 |
597.00 |
593.25 |
1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE |
(14.00) |
670.00 |
↑ |
667.50 |
658.50 |
653.75 |
647.00 |
637.75 |
633.50 |
3% no. 6 USGC WB |
(1.35) |
97.80 |
↑ |
97.40 |
96.60 |
95.80 |
95.43 |
94.40 |
93.87 |
380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore |
(7.25) |
647.25 |
↑ |
643.25 |
640.50 |
637.75 |
632.75 |
625.00 |
621.00 |
0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm |
(13.00) |
961.25 |
↑ |
966.25 |
958.25 |
952.25 |
938.25 |
922.25 |
923.25 |
Physical Rotterdam 380 CST |
(16.00) |
626.25 |
↑ |
629.75 |
626.25 |
623.25 |
618.75 |
611.25 |
607.50 |
Physical Singapore 380 CST |
(7.50) |
654.50 |
↑ |
653.50 |
650.75 |
648.00 |
643.50 |
635.75 |
631.75 |
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Focus of
the day: Houston |
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Focus US Gulf Coast
The US Gulf Coast
bunker market weakened yesterday, tracking Gulf Coast
fuel oil cargo market. As the crude complex weakened
Wednesday, market sources said bunker fuel oil activity
in the Gulf Coast region was quiet as buyers sat back to
see how much crude would fall. Houston 380 CST was heard
in the mid- to high $630s/mt Wednesday morning and
afternoon, and low-sulfur 380 CST was at a $90-100/mt
premium to Houston 380 CST. New Orleans 380 CST was
heard Wednesday morning in the mid- to high $640s/mt,
and low-sulfur 380 CST was in the mid- to high $730s/mt.
New Orleans 380 CST was assessed finally $9 lower at
$647-651/mt, while low- sulfur 380 CST was at
$742-746/mt. Houston marine gasoil weakened by $5 to
$1,034-1,036/mt but MGO 0.1% seen in both NOLA and
Houston markets was around $1045-1048/mt. RMG380 avails
are ok with at least 3 suppliers able to do prompt
deliveries (27-28th). RMK availability is quite tight
with only one player with regular supply in
Houston.
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Economy
fundamentals this week |
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Fundamental
Indicators |
Statistic |
Importance |
Date |
Time |
Period |
Consensus |
Last |
Actual |
Case-Shiller 20-city
Index |
Medium |
25-Sep |
9:00 AM |
Jul |
1.5% |
0.5% |
1.2% |
Consumer Confidence |
High |
25-Sep |
10:00 AM |
Sep |
62.0 |
60.6 |
70.3 |
New Home Sales |
Medium |
26-Sep |
10:00 AM |
Aug |
390K |
372K |
373K |
Initial Claims |
Medium |
27-Sep |
8:30 AM |
22-Sep |
380K |
382K |
- |
Durable Orders |
High |
27-Sep |
8:30 AM |
Aug |
-6.5% |
4.1% |
- |
GDP-3rd estimate |
High |
27-Sep |
8:30 AM |
Q2 |
1.7% |
1.7% |
- |
Pending Home Sales |
Medium |
28-Sep |
10:00 AM |
Aug |
2.0% |
2.4% |
- |
PCE Prices- Core |
High |
28-Sep |
8:30 AM |
Aug |
0.1% |
0.0% |
- |
Chicago PMI |
Medium |
28-Sep |
9:45 AM |
Sep |
52.0 |
53.0 |
- |
Michigan Sentiment-
Final |
Medium |
28-Sep |
9:55 AM |
Sep |
79.0 |
79.2 |
- |
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Source: OW Risk Management