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Daily Bunker Fuel and Oil Report

Tuesday, 15 May 2012 | 14:00
A bunker fuel and oil report, detailing the day per day trading patterns and prices in the market.The report is prepared from OW Risk Management and covers all major bunker fuel oil markets around the world, including all major ports, ranging from Singapore to Rotterdam.


Market in Brief

 

 


Crude prices started the week on a weak tone. The June WTI contract closed at $94.78/bbl, down -$1.35 and Brent closed at $111.57/bbl a drop of -$0.69. Confidence in the market is low with increased worries of a possible exit from Greece from the Euro. The Eur/usd fell to a new 4 month low at 1,2814. Public calls from Germany that Greece has to stay within the bailout criteria, or future bailout package will be withdrawn stepped up the pressure. This morning Germany 1st Quarter GDP came out above consensus at 0,5% vs 0,1% expected. Today, the US will release a series of economic data with the April Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, Business Inventories, Empire Manufacturing and Housing Builders index. This morning, crude is trading mixed.
 

 

 

Fueloil Specifics

 

 


The Northwest European fuel oil market again saw very limited demand at the beginning of the week with buyers holding off the market waiting for further price drops. Delivered 380cst product in Rotterdam lost app.$10/mt yesterday while cargo prices were assessed more than $6/mt down. The Singapore fuel oil markets fell more than -$4.5 during the morning Platts window yesterday tracking the weak crude movement. There is a healthy balance of robust demand and also supply. The delivered bunker premiums remained around $6.75 above cargo prices. This morning both markets are trading higher.
 

 

 

Settlement & Indications (mid values)

 

 

 

Product

Yesterday's Values

Forward Indications

Product

Change

Last

Dir.

Jun

Jul

Aug

Q312

Q412

2013

NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month)

(1.35)

94.78

94.74

95.01

95.29

95.35

96.10

96.10

ICE Brent Swap (1st month)

(0.69)

111.57

110.71

110.12

109.52

109.55

108.18

108.18

ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month)

(16.75)

934.00

931.83

930.83

931.42

931.11

930.08

913.84

3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm

(6.25)

628.00

632.25

630.00

627.75

627.75

620.00

602.25

3.5% Cargoes FOB Med

(4.25)

631.75

629.00

626.25

623.75

623.75

615.75

598.00

1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE

(9.25)

664.75

667.25

666.25

663.75

663.75

654.25

636.25

3% no. 6 USGC WB

(0.50)

98.85

98.90

99.10

98.82

97.44

96.44

94.75

380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore

(4.50)

661.25

663.25

658.75

655.75

656.00

647.00

627.50

0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm

(20.75)

937.75

931.25

930.25

931.25

931.25

931.25

917.25

Physical Rotterdam 380 CST

(10.00)

635.00

642.50

640.25

638.00

638.00

630.25

612.50

Physical Singapore 380 CST

(4.00)

668.75

673.50

669.00

666.00

666.75

657.75

638.25

 

 

 

Focus of the day: ARA

 

 


Market has settled a little compared to the big changes in oil market from the previous week. As a new balance has been found with Brent between $111 and $113/bbl during the last days we are slowly seeing the normal market premiums against fuel oil 3,5% and 1% barges. Avails situation has improved as well and even for very prompt demand there should be product to find however a decent notice is still recommended in order to reach lower premiums.
 

 

 

Economy fundamentals this week

 

 

 

Fundamental Indicators

Statistic

Importance

Date

Time

Period

Consensus

Last

Actual

Retail Sales

High

15-May

8:30 AM

Apr

0.2%

0.8%

-

CPI

High

15-May

8:30 AM

Apr

0.2%

0.2%

-

Empire Manufacturing

Medium

15-May

8:30 AM

May

8.4

6.6

-

Business Inventories

Medium

15-May

10:00 AM

Mar

0.3%

0.6%

-

Housing Starts

Medium

16-May

8:30 AM

Apr

680K

654K

-

Building Permits

Medium

16-May

8:30 AM

Apr

730K

747K

-

Industrial Production

Medium

16-May

9:15 AM

Apr

0.5%

0.0%

-

Initial Claims

Medium

17-May

8:30 AM

12-May

365K

367K

-

Philadelphia Fed

Medium

17-May

10:00 AM

May

8.8

8.5

-

Leading Indicators

Medium

17-May

10:00 AM

Apr

0.2%

0.3%




Source: OW Risk Management 

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