A bunker fuel and oil report, detailing the day per day trading patterns
and prices in the market.The report is prepared from OW Risk Management
and covers all major bunker fuel oil markets around the world,
including all major ports, ranging from Singapore to Rotterdam.
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Crude prices started the week on a weak tone. The June WTI contract
closed at $94.78/bbl, down -$1.35 and Brent closed at $111.57/bbl a
drop of -$0.69. Confidence in the market is low with increased worries
of a possible exit from Greece from the Euro. The Eur/usd fell to a new
4 month low at 1,2814. Public calls from Germany that Greece has to
stay within the bailout criteria, or future bailout package will be
withdrawn stepped up the pressure. This morning Germany 1st Quarter GDP
came out above consensus at 0,5% vs 0,1% expected. Today, the US will
release a series of economic data with the April Retail Sales, Consumer
Price Index, Business Inventories, Empire Manufacturing and Housing
Builders index. This morning, crude is trading mixed.
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The Northwest European fuel oil market again saw very limited demand at
the beginning of the week with buyers holding off the market waiting
for further price drops. Delivered 380cst product in Rotterdam lost
app.$10/mt yesterday while cargo prices were assessed more than $6/mt
down. The Singapore fuel oil markets fell more than -$4.5 during the
morning Platts window yesterday tracking the weak crude movement. There
is a healthy balance of robust demand and also supply. The delivered
bunker premiums remained around $6.75 above cargo prices. This morning
both markets are trading higher.
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Settlement
& Indications (mid values)
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Product
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Yesterday's Values
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Forward Indications
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Product
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Change
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Last
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Dir.
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Jun
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Jul
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Aug
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Q312
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Q412
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2013
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NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month)
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(1.35)
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94.78
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↓
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94.74
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95.01
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95.29
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95.35
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96.10
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96.10
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ICE Brent Swap (1st month)
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(0.69)
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111.57
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↑
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110.71
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110.12
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109.52
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109.55
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108.18
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108.18
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ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month)
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(16.75)
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934.00
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↓
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931.83
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930.83
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931.42
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931.11
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930.08
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913.84
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3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm
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(6.25)
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628.00
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↑
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632.25
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630.00
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627.75
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627.75
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620.00
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602.25
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3.5% Cargoes FOB Med
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(4.25)
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631.75
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↑
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629.00
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626.25
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623.75
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623.75
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615.75
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598.00
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1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE
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(9.25)
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664.75
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↑
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667.25
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666.25
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663.75
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663.75
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654.25
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636.25
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3% no. 6 USGC WB
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(0.50)
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98.85
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↓
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98.90
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99.10
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98.82
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97.44
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96.44
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94.75
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380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore
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(4.50)
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661.25
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↑
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663.25
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658.75
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655.75
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656.00
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647.00
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627.50
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0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm
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(20.75)
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937.75
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↓
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931.25
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930.25
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931.25
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931.25
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931.25
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917.25
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Physical Rotterdam 380 CST
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(10.00)
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635.00
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↑
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642.50
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640.25
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638.00
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638.00
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630.25
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612.50
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Physical Singapore 380 CST
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(4.00)
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668.75
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↑
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673.50
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669.00
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666.00
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666.75
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657.75
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638.25
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Market has settled a little compared to the big changes in oil market
from the previous week. As a new balance has been found with Brent
between $111 and $113/bbl during the last days we are slowly seeing the
normal market premiums against fuel oil 3,5% and 1% barges. Avails
situation has improved as well and even for very prompt demand there
should be product to find however a decent notice is still recommended
in order to reach lower premiums.
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Economy
fundamentals this week
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Fundamental Indicators
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Statistic
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Importance
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Date
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Time
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Period
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Consensus
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Last
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Actual
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Retail Sales
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High
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15-May
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8:30 AM
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Apr
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0.2%
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0.8%
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-
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CPI
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High
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15-May
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8:30 AM
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Apr
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0.2%
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0.2%
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-
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Empire Manufacturing
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Medium
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15-May
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8:30 AM
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May
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8.4
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6.6
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-
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Business Inventories
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Medium
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15-May
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10:00 AM
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Mar
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0.3%
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0.6%
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-
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Housing Starts
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Medium
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16-May
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8:30 AM
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Apr
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680K
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654K
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-
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Building Permits
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Medium
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16-May
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8:30 AM
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Apr
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730K
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747K
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-
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Industrial Production
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Medium
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16-May
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9:15 AM
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Apr
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0.5%
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0.0%
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-
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Initial Claims
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Medium
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17-May
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8:30 AM
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12-May
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365K
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367K
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-
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Philadelphia Fed
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Medium
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17-May
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10:00 AM
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May
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8.8
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8.5
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-
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Leading Indicators
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Medium
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17-May
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10:00 AM
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Apr
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0.2%
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0.3%
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Source: OW Risk Management