A bunker fuel and oil report, detailing the day per day trading patterns
and prices in the market.The report is prepared from OW Risk Management
and covers all major bunker fuel oil markets around the world,
including all major ports, ranging from Singapore to Rotterdam.
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Yesterday crude oil prices finished lower
again. The June WTI contract expired at $91.66/bbl, down
-$0.91 and the July future closed at $91.85/bbl, down
-$1.01. The July Brent contract lost only -$0.40 to
close at $108.41/bbl. Market gave up its initial gains
on hopes of today’s EU summit after a former Prime
Minister, Mr. Papademos, mentioned that the risk of a
“Grexit” is possible. The Greek election on the 17th
June is now seen as a plebiscite for the Euro. US have
approved a new sanction package against Iran but market
reaction was smoothed by the announcement that Iran was
accepting again inspectors from the International
Energy. Today the market continues to be under pressure
with Eur/Usd trading below 1,2650. The US Energy
department will release its Inventory Report later today
and the expectations are as follows: Crude +1.6 mbbl,
Distillates -0.2 mbbl, Gasoline -4.5 mbbl. This morning,
crude is trading down.
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The Northwest European bunker fuel oil
prices posted gains yesterday for a second day in a row.
Delivered 380cst product was up app.$7/mt on higher
cargo prices that were assessed more than $5/mt higher
versus previous day close. Ports in the NWE area
reported increased buying interest. Product avails for
prompt deliveries remain on the low side in Rotterdam.
The Singapore fuel oil markets extended its second day
gain more than $3.5 during the morning Platts window
yesterday tracking the firm crude movement. The
delivered bunker premiums slipped to around $5.0 above
cargo prices. Bunker fuel oil swaps gained more than
$9/mt at the front of the forward curve both for
Rotterdam and Singapore papers. Backend again was
weaker, with calendar 2013 papers assessed app.$5.5/mt
up versus previous day close. This morning both markets
are trading lower.
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Settlement
& Indications (mid values) |
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Product |
Yesterday's
Values |
Forward
Indications |
Product |
Change |
Last |
Dir. |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Q312 |
Q412 |
2013 |
NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month) |
(0.91) |
91.85 |
↓ |
91.16 |
91.43 |
91.64 |
91.67 |
92.49 |
92.49 |
ICE Brent Swap (1st month) |
(0.40) |
108.41 |
↓ |
107.00 |
106.42 |
105.88 |
105.89 |
104.71 |
104.71 |
ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month) |
6.25 |
917.75 |
↓ |
905.17 |
903.00 |
903.02 |
903.00 |
902.19 |
890.08 |
3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm |
5.50 |
624.50 |
↓ |
612.75 |
609.25 |
606.25 |
606.25 |
597.75 |
580.50 |
3.5% Cargoes FOB Med |
8.00 |
621.50 |
↓ |
607.75 |
604.50 |
601.75 |
601.75 |
593.25 |
576.00 |
1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE |
6.50 |
662.25 |
↓ |
654.75 |
652.75 |
649.75 |
649.25 |
636.25 |
617.00 |
3% no. 6 USGC WB |
(0.33) |
96.63 |
↓ |
95.95 |
95.53 |
95.13 |
93.98 |
92.93 |
91.43 |
380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore |
4.50 |
651.50 |
↓ |
641.00 |
637.50 |
634.25 |
635.00 |
625.75 |
606.75 |
0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm |
5.25 |
921.00 |
↓ |
905.25 |
902.25 |
902.25 |
902.25 |
902.25 |
893.25 |
Physical Rotterdam 380 CST |
7.00 |
632.00 |
↓ |
623.00 |
619.50 |
616.50 |
616.50 |
608.00 |
590.75 |
Physical Singapore 380 CST |
3.00 |
657.00 |
↓ |
651.25 |
647.75 |
644.50 |
645.75 |
636.50 |
617.50 |
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Focus of
the day: Singapore |
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Onshore stocks of fuel oil in Singapore
have fallen to a four-week low and inventories were down
by 7.5% in the week ending May 16, slipping by 1.5
million barrels to stand at 18.371 million barrels.
Observers said Western arbitrage arrivals totaled just
over 500,000mt, down more than 200,000mt week-on-week.
More volumes were also being sent to Malaysia,
contributing to the draw-down. More than 300,000mt was
moved from Singapore in the last seven days, twice as
much as in the week ending May 10. The decline in stocks
coincided with a fall in fixed-price levels for
intermediate fuel oil (IFO) in the Singapore bunker
market. That fall contributed to a rise in demand,
although activity had slowed in recent days with
end-users holding out for lower prices. Bunker prices
were firming in key Asian markets on Tuesday.
In
Singapore, the price of 380cst gained $4 to $655/mt.
Marine gas oil prices were also up by $4 to average
$918.50/mt. Demand was average and supplies fine,
according to traders. Earliest dates for bunker
deliveries were from May 27 to May 30.
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Economy
fundamentals this week |
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Fundamental
Indicators |
Statistic |
Importance |
Date |
Time |
Period |
Consensus |
Last |
Actual |
Existing Home Sales |
Medium |
22-May |
10:00 AM |
Apr |
4.65M |
4.48M |
4.62M |
New Home Sales |
Medium |
23-May |
10:00 AM |
Apr |
340K |
328K |
- |
FHFA Housing Price Index |
Medium |
23-May |
10:00 AM |
Mar |
NA |
0.3% |
- |
Initial Claims |
Medium |
24-May |
8:30 AM |
19-May |
365K |
370K |
- |
Durable Orders |
High |
24-May |
8:30 AM |
Apr |
0.3% |
-3.9% |
- |
Michigan Sentiment-Final |
Medium |
25-May |
9:55 AM |
May |
77.5 |
77.8 |
- |
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Source: OW Risk Management