A bunker fuel and oil report, detailing the day per day trading patterns
and prices in the market.The report is prepared from OW Risk Management
and covers all major bunker fuel oil markets around the world,
including all major ports, ranging from Singapore to Rotterdam.
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Yesterday Crude prices extended losses. The
January WTI contract closed at $86.26/bbl, down -$1.62 and Brent settled
at $107.03,l -$1.78 lower. The bearish market sentiment prevails on
Eurozone worries and no progress in talks to avoid US fiscal cliffs. The
ECB revised downward its economic forecast for next year for the entire
Eurozone which added pressure on the market. The Eur/Usd lost nearly 2
figures the last 2 days trading now at 1,2938 adding pressure on
commodities. The US jobless weekly claims figures released yesterday
were better than expected reporting a drop but the most important number
of the week-Non Farm Payroll/ Unemployment will ne published later
today and will give the tone for next days. Market is looking for a 90k
new jobs creation -which is weak- but the number is impacted by
Hurricane Sandy effect. This morning, crude prices are trading down.
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The NWE fuel oil prices fell sharply yesterday
following lower crude. Cargo prices were assessed down more than $5/mt
while delivered 380cst product in Rotterdam was even weaker, down by
app.$8/mt. There was reported low demand as most of the buyers held off
the market, expecting better prices today. The Singapore markets dipped
more than $2.0 during the morning Platts window yesterday. The latest
Singapore heavy residual inventory reported a build of 0.5 mbbl to 23.0
mbbl; rose for the fifth straight week. The delivered bunker premiums
were seen at $2.5- 5.0 above cargo prices. Bunker fuel oil swaps lost
app.$8/mt at the front and a dollar more at the backend of the forward
curve both for Rotterdam and Singapore papers. This morning both markets
are trading higher.
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Settlement & Indications (mid values) |
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Product |
Yesterday's Values |
Forward Indications |
Product |
Change |
Last |
Dir. |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
Q113 |
Q213 |
2013 |
NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month) |
(1.62) |
86.26 |
↓ |
86.35 |
86.97 |
87.59 |
87.58 |
89.05 |
89.04 |
ICE Brent Swap (1st month) |
(1.78) |
107.03 |
↓ |
106.75 |
106.05 |
105.49 |
105.53 |
104.22 |
103.75 |
ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month) |
(14.50) |
913.50 |
↓ |
914.50 |
916.00 |
915.58 |
914.83 |
905.06 |
903.65 |
3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm |
(5.75) |
573.00 |
↑ |
573.75 |
578.00 |
580.50 |
580.25 |
584.75 |
583.00 |
3.5% Cargoes FOB Med |
(9.25) |
561.75 |
↑ |
563.25 |
569.75 |
574.25 |
573.50 |
579.00 |
577.50 |
1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE |
(8.25) |
585.25 |
↑ |
591.25 |
599.50 |
603.00 |
602.75 |
609.25 |
607.75 |
3% no. 6 USGC WB |
(1.21) |
91.70 |
↑ |
91.39 |
91.39 |
91.31 |
91.31 |
91.74 |
91.61 |
380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore |
(2.75) |
600.25 |
↑ |
596.25 |
600.25 |
603.00 |
602.75 |
608.50 |
607.00 |
0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm |
(14.25) |
913.00 |
↓ |
915.25 |
916.25 |
916.25 |
916.25 |
906.25 |
905.25 |
Physical Rotterdam 380 CST |
(8.00) |
577.25 |
↑ |
584.00 |
588.25 |
590.75 |
590.50 |
595.00 |
593.25 |
Physical Singapore 380 CST |
(3.00) |
604.75 |
↑ |
606.50 |
610.50 |
613.25 |
613.50 |
619.25 |
617.75 |
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Focus of the day: Piraeus |
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This week demand was a bit slower in Piraeus.
Crude market was flat all through the week and cargo prices remained
relatively stable. Bad weather had an impact on supplies in many ports
in the Mediterranean and a number of vessels chose to deviate and bunker
in Piraeus because of its sheltered anchorage. Despite these prompt
enquiries there was no congestion reported and loadings and supplies
were carried out efficiently. Product availability was very good and
operations at the port are running smoothly.
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Economy fundamentals this week |
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Fundamental Indicators |
Statistic |
Importance |
Date |
Time |
Period |
Consensus |
Last |
Actual |
ISM Index |
High |
03-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Nov |
50.0 |
51.7 |
49.5 |
Construction Spending |
Medium |
03-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Oct |
0.3% |
0.6% |
1.4% |
MBA Mortgage Index |
Medium |
05-Dec |
7:00 AM |
01-Dec |
NA |
-0.9% |
4.5% |
ADP Employment Change |
Medium |
05-Dec |
8:15 AM |
Nov |
125K |
158K |
118K |
Productiivity- Rev. |
Medium |
05-Dec |
8:30 AM |
Q3 |
2.4% |
1.9% |
2.9% |
Factory Orders |
Medium |
05-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Oct |
-0.5% |
4.8% |
0.8% |
ISM Services |
Medium |
05-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Nov |
53.0 |
54.2 |
54.7 |
Initial Claims |
Medium |
06-Dec |
8:30 AM |
01-Dec |
385K |
393K |
370K |
Nonfarm Payrolls |
High |
07-Dec |
8:30 AM |
Nov |
80K |
171K |
- |
Unemployment Rate |
High |
07-Dec |
8:30 AM |
Nov |
8.1% |
7.9% |
- |
Mich Sentiment |
High |
07-Dec |
9:55 AM |
Dec |
82.0 |
82.7 |
- |
Consumer Credit |
Medium |
07-Dec |
3:00 PM |
Oct |
$8.0B |
$11.4B |
- |
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Source: OW Risk Management