A bunker fuel and oil report, detailing the day per day trading patterns
and prices in the market.The report is prepared from OW Risk Management
and covers all major bunker fuel oil markets around the world,
including all major ports, ranging from Singapore to Rotterdam.
|
|
Crude closed lower for a second day in a row.
The January WTI contract closed at $87.88/bbl, down $0.62 and Brent
settled at $108.81, down $1.03. The US inventory report presented a
mixed picture with crude stockpile seeing a larger than expected draw of
-2.3 mbbl. However, the gasoline and distillates inventories both
recorded massive builds of +7.8 mbbl and + 3.0 mbbl respectively as US
refinery rammed up refining activities going into the winter season.
President Obama's confidence on tackling the US fiscal cliff lifted
market sentiment in equities but failed to translate into crude prices.
The November US ISM non-manufacturing data (+54,7) came out better than
expected and so did the October Factory Orders (+0,8%). Today, we will
have the Bank of England and ECB monthly Rate announcement with no
change expected and before the October German Factory Orders. Later in
the day the US weekly jobless claims will be out but all eyes are
already for the November US Nonfarm Payroll tomorrow (probably distorted
with Hurricane Sandy). This morning, crude prices are trading slightly
up.
|
|
|
|
|
The NWE bunker fuel oil markets weakened again
Wednesday following lower crude. Both delivered 380cst product in
Rotterdam and cargo prices were assessed app.2/mt down versus previous
day’s close. Demand in the area remained low as buyers were expecting to
see more attractive prices on Thursday. The Singapore markets were
around flat ranging between -$1.0 and +$1.0 during the morning Platts
window yesterday despite the softer crude values. The market was
well-bided by major; BP buying both fuel oil swaps and physical cargoes.
The delivered bunker premiums saw some level of revival ranging
$5.0-2.0 above cargo prices yesterday. This morning both markets are
trading slightly higher.
|
|
|
|
Settlement & Indications (mid values) |
|
|
|
Product |
Yesterday's Values |
Forward Indications |
Product |
Change |
Last |
Dir. |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
Q113 |
Q213 |
2013 |
NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month) |
(0.62) |
87.88 |
↑ |
88.34 |
88.95 |
89.59 |
89.56 |
90.87 |
90.86 |
ICE Brent Swap (1st month) |
(1.03) |
108.81 |
↑ |
108.72 |
107.94 |
107.33 |
107.38 |
106.01 |
105.54 |
ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month) |
(6.00) |
928.00 |
↑ |
931.92 |
932.92 |
931.67 |
930.86 |
930.52 |
918.12 |
3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm |
(2.00) |
578.75 |
↑ |
582.50 |
586.75 |
589.50 |
589.25 |
594.50 |
592.75 |
3.5% Cargoes FOB Med |
0.25 |
571.75 |
↑ |
571.50 |
578.25 |
583.25 |
582.50 |
588.75 |
587.25 |
1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE |
(0.75) |
594.50 |
↑ |
599.00 |
607.25 |
611.75 |
611.00 |
618.25 |
616.75 |
3% no. 6 USGC WB |
(0.89) |
92.16 |
↑ |
92.41 |
92.86 |
92.88 |
92.95 |
92.95 |
92.85 |
380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore |
(1.00) |
602.00 |
↑ |
604.75 |
608.00 |
611.50 |
611.25 |
618.00 |
616.50 |
0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm |
(5.75) |
926.25 |
↑ |
932.25 |
933.25 |
932.25 |
932.25 |
921.25 |
920.25 |
Physical Rotterdam 380 CST |
(1.00) |
586.00 |
↑ |
592.75 |
597.00 |
599.75 |
599.50 |
604.75 |
603.00 |
Physical Singapore 380 CST |
1.50 |
607.25 |
↑ |
615.00 |
618.25 |
621.75 |
622.00 |
628.75 |
627.25 |
|
|
|
|
Economy fundamentals this week |
|
|
|
Fundamental Indicators |
Statistic |
Importance |
Date |
Time |
Period |
Consensus |
Last |
Actual |
ISM Index |
High |
03-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Nov |
50.0 |
51.7 |
49.5 |
Construction Spending |
Medium |
03-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Oct |
0.3% |
0.6% |
1.4% |
MBA Mortgage Index |
Medium |
05-Dec |
7:00 AM |
01-Dec |
NA |
-0.9% |
4.5% |
ADP Employment Change |
Medium |
05-Dec |
8:15 AM |
Nov |
125K |
158K |
118K |
Productiivity- Rev. |
Medium |
05-Dec |
8:30 AM |
Q3 |
2.4% |
1.9% |
2.9% |
Factory Orders |
Medium |
05-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Oct |
-0.5% |
4.8% |
0.8% |
ISM Services |
Medium |
05-Dec |
10:00 AM |
Nov |
53.0 |
54.2 |
54.7 |
Initial Claims |
Medium |
06-Dec |
8:30 AM |
01-Dec |
385K |
393K |
- |
Nonfarm Payrolls |
High |
07-Dec |
8:30 AM |
Nov |
80K |
171K |
- |
Unemployment Rate |
High |
07-Dec |
8:30 AM |
Nov |
8.1% |
7.9% |
- |
Mich Sentiment |
High |
07-Dec |
9:55 AM |
Dec |
82.0 |
82.7 |
- |
Consumer Credit |
Medium |
07-Dec |
3:00 PM |
Oct |
$8.0B |
$11.4B |
- |
|
|
Source: OW Risk Management