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Yesterday Crude prices closed lower after 4 days of gains. The June WTI contract expired at $96.16/bbl, down -$0.55 while the next active July WTI contract closed at $96.18/bbl, down -$0.75. The July Brent futures closed at $103.91/bbl, similarly losing -$0.89. The crude market continues to be disconnected to the equities market which saw a firm steady increase. The US inventory compiled by API showed a surprising build in crude stockpile and +3.0 mbbl in gasoline. Japanese trade data disappointed in April rising only 3,8% vs 5,9% expected. The market is likely to focus on the US Federal Reserve minutes later today as the market is looking for signs from the US Monetary policy forward. The US Energy department will release its inventory report later today and the expectations are as follows: Crude -0.78 mbbl, Distillates +0.89 mbbl, Gasoline +0.02 mbbl. This morning, crude is trading 0,50% down.
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The NWE bunker fuel oil prices weakened yesterday. Delivered 380cst product in Rotterdam was assessed down by app.$7/mt and some $5/mt down in Antwerp. Rotterdam port reported strong demand and prices ranging depending on avails and barge schedules. The Singapore fuel oil markets were mostly flat; ranging flat to +$1.0 during the Asian Platts window yesterday. The Singapore market is impacted by strong incoming cargoes while demand lags. Market demand continues to be soft and slow. The delivered bunker premiums inched to around $5.25 above cargo prices yesterday. This morning both markets are trading down.
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Settlement & Indications (mid values) |
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Product |
Yesterday's Values |
Forward Indications |
Product |
Change |
Last |
Dir. |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Q313 |
Q413 |
2014 |
NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month) |
(0,75) |
96,18 |
↓ |
95,81 |
95,86 |
95,71 |
95,64 |
94,29 |
91,55 |
ICE Brent Swap (1st month) |
(0,89) |
103,91 |
↓ |
103,19 |
103,03 |
102,76 |
102,76 |
101,87 |
99,30 |
ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month) |
(4,75) |
875,75 |
↓ |
868,42 |
870,33 |
873,00 |
872,92 |
873,58 |
862,87 |
3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm |
(6,25) |
581,25 |
↓ |
578,75 |
576,25 |
574,50 |
574,50 |
569,50 |
563,50 |
3.5% Cargoes FOB Med |
(4,50) |
571,00 |
↓ |
572,00 |
570,75 |
569,25 |
568,25 |
562,50 |
559,75 |
1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE |
(6,75) |
602,00 |
↓ |
603,50 |
605,50 |
604,75 |
605,00 |
600,00 |
590,75 |
3% no. 6 USGC WB |
(0,29) |
90,98 |
↓ |
90,50 |
90,25 |
90,00 |
90,25 |
89,50 |
88,75 |
380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore |
0,00 |
602,25 |
↓ |
599,25 |
599,25 |
598,25 |
596,75 |
593,50 |
588,25 |
0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm |
(8,00) |
875,75 |
↓ |
869,25 |
871,25 |
873,25 |
873,25 |
877,25 |
866,25 |
Physical Rotterdam 380 CST |
(7,00) |
587,00 |
↓ |
584,00 |
582,00 |
580,25 |
580,75 |
575,75 |
570,25 |
Physical Singapore 380 CST |
1,00 |
608,25 |
↓ |
606,50 |
606,00 |
605,00 |
604,00 |
600,75 |
597,00 |
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Focus of the day: Singapore |
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The premium traders in Asia are paying for the earliest deliveries of fuel oil is poised to slide from an eight-month high as Europe floods the region with excess supplies and Chinese refinery demand wanes. Deliveries to Singapore in June will cost an average $1.25/mt more than July contracts in the second half of this month, according to the median estimate of five traders surveyed by Bloomberg this week. The difference was $4.50 on May 1, the most since September 2012, and averaged $2.36 in the first half of the month. Avails of cargo are still quite healthy and barge avails looking earliest starting from 24th May 2013.
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Economy fundamentals this week |
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Fundamental Indicators |
Statistic |
Importance |
Date |
Time |
Period |
Consensus |
Last |
Actual |
MBA Mortgage Index |
Medium |
22-May |
7:00 AM |
18-May |
NA |
-7.3% |
- |
Existing Home Sales |
Medium |
22-May |
10:00 AM |
Apr |
5.05M |
4.92M |
- |
FOMC Minutes |
Medium |
22-May |
2:00 PM |
1-May |
- |
- |
- |
Initial Claims |
Medium |
23-May |
8:30 AM |
18-May |
350K |
360K |
- |
Continuing Claims |
Medium |
23-May |
8:30 AM |
11-May |
3015K |
3009K |
- |
New Home Sales |
Medium |
23-May |
10:00 AM |
Apr |
425K |
417K |
- |
Durable Orders |
Medium |
24-May |
8:30 AM |
Apr |
-1.5% |
-6.9% |
- |
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