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Volatility is the word on Crude where prices surged more than $2.9 back yesterday. Oil prices cheered the loose monetary policies favored by the Central Banks with the ECB announcement yesterday of a 25 bps rate cut. Prices were also aided by an unexpected drop in US weekly jobless claims to 324k. Today the market will focus on the US April Nonfarm Payroll and Unemployment rate as well as the US April manufacturing data and Factory Orders figures for March. The June WTI contract settled at $93.99/bbl, +$2.96 and Brent futures rebounded +$2.90 to $102.85/bbl. This morning, crude is trading slightly down (-0,20%).
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The NWE bunker fuel oil prices rebounded yesterday with delivered 380cst product in Rotterdam gaining up to $10/mt and in Antwerp some 3usd less. Demand in Rotterdam was sluggish while Antwerp saw some increasing volumes. Hamburg reported quiet day and still tight avails for HSFO that are expected to improve in the coming days. The Singapore fuel oil markets fell more than -$11.0 during the Platts window yesterday tracking the massive crude drop previously. The latest Singapore heavy residual inventory saw a build of +2.0 mbbl to 18.49 mbbl; a seven week high. The delivered bunker premiums were $9.5-8.0 above cargo prices yesterday. This morning both markets are trading higher.
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Settlement & Indications (mid values) |
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Product |
Yesterday's Values |
Forward Indications |
Product |
Change |
Last |
Dir. |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Q313 |
Q413 |
2014 |
NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month) |
2,96 |
93,99 |
↓ |
93,79 |
93,68 |
93,45 |
93,43 |
92,21 |
89,74 |
ICE Brent Swap (1st month) |
2,90 |
102,85 |
↓ |
101,70 |
101,33 |
101,01 |
101,02 |
100,12 |
97,89 |
ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month) |
12,00 |
834,75 |
↑ |
849,50 |
854,08 |
857,25 |
857,06 |
862,47 |
856,37 |
3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm |
10,25 |
578,25 |
↑ |
578,25 |
576,25 |
574,00 |
574,50 |
568,50 |
548,50 |
3.5% Cargoes FOB Med |
11,00 |
570,75 |
↑ |
573,50 |
571,75 |
569,50 |
571,00 |
563,00 |
544,75 |
1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE |
13,00 |
585,00 |
↑ |
596,50 |
600,50 |
600,00 |
600,25 |
595,75 |
575,00 |
3% no. 6 USGC WB |
2,64 |
92,62 |
↓ |
91,20 |
90,95 |
90,45 |
90,70 |
89,70 |
88,70 |
380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore |
(12,75) |
599,50 |
↑ |
601,75 |
599,50 |
597,75 |
598,25 |
593,25 |
574,00 |
0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm |
13,50 |
835,25 |
↑ |
850,25 |
855,25 |
858,25 |
858,25 |
863,25 |
857,25 |
Physical Rotterdam 380 CST |
10,00 |
582,75 |
↑ |
585,50 |
583,50 |
581,25 |
581,75 |
575,75 |
555,75 |
Physical Singapore 380 CST |
(10,50) |
608,25 |
↑ |
609,00 |
606,25 |
604,50 |
604,50 |
599,50 |
581,25 |
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Economy fundamentals this week |
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Fundamental Indicators |
Statistic |
Importance |
Date |
Time |
Period |
Consensus |
Last |
Actual |
Personal Income |
Medium |
29-apr |
8:30 AM |
Mar |
0.3% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
PCE Prices - Core |
High |
29-apr |
8:30 AM |
Mar |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
Chicago PMI |
Medium |
30-apr |
9:45 AM |
Apr |
52.0 |
52.4 |
49.0 |
Consumer Confidence |
Medium |
30-apr |
10:00 AM |
Apr |
61.0 |
59.7 |
98.1 |
ADP Employment Change |
Medium |
01-maj |
8:15 AM |
Apr |
150K |
158K |
119K |
ISM Index |
Medium |
01-maj |
10:00 AM |
Apr |
49.5 |
51.3 |
50.7 |
FOMC Rate Decision |
Medium |
01-maj |
2:15 PM |
May |
0.25% |
0.25% |
0.25% |
Initial Claims |
Medium |
02-maj |
8:30 AM |
27-apr |
346K |
339K |
324K |
Trade Balance |
High |
02-maj |
8:30 AM |
Mar |
-$43.5B |
-$43.0B |
-$38.8B |
Nonfarm Payrolls |
High |
03-maj |
8:30 AM |
Apr |
150K |
88K |
- |
Unemployment Rate |
High |
03-maj |
8:30 AM |
Apr |
7.6% |
7.6% |
- |
Factory Orders |
Medium |
03-maj |
10:00 AM |
Mar |
-2.5% |
3.0% |
- |
ISM Services |
High |
03-maj |
10:00 AM |
Apr |
54.0 |
54.4 |
- |
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