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Saudi Arabia may announce landmark Aramco share sale Thursday, sources say

Friday, 31 May 2024 | 00:00

Saudi Arabia may announce a landmark secondary share offering in oil giant Aramco later on Thursday, pending final approval, people with knowledge of the matter said.

The share offering is expected to be launched on Sunday, the sources said. Final approval would come from Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

The offering is the culmination of a years-long effort to sell another chunk in one of the world’s most valuable companies after its record-setting IPO in 2019 that raised $29.4 billion.

Sources told Reuters last week the offering could happen as soon as June, with one adding it could raise around $10 billion.

Since the IPO, Aramco has continued to be a cash cow for the Saudi government as it finances a mammoth economic drive to end its “oil addiction”, as the crown prince once called it.

The company bolstered dividends to almost $98 billion in 2023 from the $75 billion it had been paying annually, despite profit having dropped by nearly a quarter. It expects an outlay of $124.3 billion this year.

Aramco has also invested in refineries and petrochemical projects in China and elsewhere, expanded its retail and trading businesses, and sharpened its focus on gas, making its first foray into liquefied natural gas abroad last year.

Banks including Citi C.N, Goldman Sachs GS.N, and HSBC HSBA.L are managing the sale, Reuters has previously reported.

Saudi Arabia’s de-facto ruler MbS, as the crown prince is known, has poured hundreds of billions of dollars through the kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund into mega projects, and everything from electric vehicles to sports and a new airline, to diversify the economy away from hydrocarbons and create jobs.

But lower oil prices and production weighed on economic growth last year while spending increased, leading to a fiscal deficit of around 2% of GDP, with a similar deficit expected this year.

Aramco introduced a special performance-based dividend last year, providing cash to the kingdom and helping to lure new investors. It offered $31 billion in dividends for the first quarter, a 59% boost from the first three months of 2023 even as profit declined 14% in the same period.

The company has also signed up more banks as market-makers to help improve liquidity in the shares.

The world’s biggest oil exporter trades at a higher price-to-earnings ratio than other global oil companies, including ExxonMobil, BP and Shell.

The stock is down 11% this year while shares of ExxonMobil and BP are up 11% and 14% respectively.

Saudi Arabia is the de facto leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, helping engineer price moves on world oil markets.

Aramco currently produces about 9 million barrels of crude a day, about three quarters of its maximum capacity, to comply with output cuts agreed by OPEC and its allies, known as OPEC+.

OPEC+ is set to decide its next production policies on Sunday, and several sources and analysts expect the meeting to roll over existing cuts into the second half of 2024.

Should OPEC+ surprise the market and cut production further, oil prices could rise from the current roughly $83, but Aramco would have to reduce output and face even lower revenues.
Source: Reuters (Reporting by Hadeel Al Sayegh and Maha El Dahan; Writing by Yousef Saba; Editing by Bernadette Baum)

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