The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that, excluding Iran, members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) earned about $826 billion in net oil export revenues in 2013. This was a 7% decrease from 2012 earnings, but still the second-largest earnings totals during the 1975-2013 period for
which EIA has tracked OPEC oil revenues. OPEC earnings declined largely for two reasons: a drop in OPEC oil production in 2013 (largely because of the supply disruption in Libya), and a 3% decline in average crude oil prices (as measured by the Brent crude oil price marker).
For each country, EIA derived net oil exports based on its oil
production and consumption estimates from the latest edition of the
STEO. For countries that export several different crude varieties, EIA
assumes that the proportion of total net oil exports represented by each
variety is equal to the proportion of the total domestic production
represented by that variety.
For example, if Arab Medium represents 20% of total oil production
in Saudi Arabia, it is assumed that Arab Medium also represents 20% of
total net oil exports from Saudi Arabia. EIA assumes that these exports
are then sold at prevailing spot prices. Projected revenues are then
estimated using EIA's projections for oil prices from the STEO. These
projections incorporate historical price differentials between spot
prices for the different OPEC crude oil types and the benchmark crude
oil prices that are projected in the STEO (Brent and West Texas
Intermediate).
Available OPEC (excluding Iran) net oil export revenues
Country |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
Jan-Jun 2014 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
Jan-Jun 2014 |
Algeria |
$60 |
- - |
- - |
$28 |
$60 |
- - |
- - |
$28 |
Angola |
$27 |
- - |
- - |
$12 |
$27 |
- - |
- - |
$12 |
Ecuador |
$11 |
- - |
- - |
$5 |
$11 |
- - |
- - |
$5 |
Iran |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
Iraq |
$86 |
- - |
- - |
$46 |
$86 |
- - |
- - |
$45 |
Kuwait |
$92 |
- - |
- - |
$45 |
$92 |
- - |
- - |
$45 |
Libya |
$34 |
- - |
- - |
$4 |
$34 |
- - |
- - |
$4 |
Nigeria |
$84 |
- - |
- - |
$40 |
$84 |
- - |
- - |
$40 |
Qatar |
$42 |
- - |
- - |
$21 |
$42 |
- - |
- - |
$20 |
Saudi Arabia |
$274 |
- - |
- - |
$130 |
$274 |
- - |
- - |
$127 |
UAE |
$53 |
- - |
- - |
$26 |
$53 |
- - |
- - |
$25 |
Venezuela |
$62 |
- - |
- - |
$30 |
$62 |
- - |
- - |
$29 |
All of OPEC |
$826 |
$774 |
$723 |
$387 |
$826 |
$760 |
$697 |
$380 |
View nominal or real data (2005-15) |
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, derived from data in the STEO.
|
OPEC (excluding Iran) per capita net oil export revenues
Country |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
Jan-Jun 2014 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
Jan-Jun 2014 |
Algeria |
$1,677 |
- - |
- - |
$785 |
$1,677 |
- - |
- - |
$770 |
Angola |
$1,964 |
- - |
- - |
$881 |
$1,964 |
- - |
- - |
$865 |
Ecuador |
$736 |
- - |
- - |
$365 |
$736 |
- - |
- - |
$358 |
Iran |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
- - |
Iraq |
$2,706 |
- - |
- - |
$1,405 |
$2,706 |
- - |
- - |
$1,379 |
Kuwait |
$29,949 |
- - |
- - |
$14,368 |
$29,949 |
- - |
- - |
$14,103 |
Libya |
$4,999 |
- - |
- - |
$587 |
$4,999 |
- - |
- - |
$576 |
Nigeria |
$538 |
- - |
- - |
$254 |
$538 |
- - |
- - |
$250 |
Qatar |
$40,943 |
- - |
- - |
$19,815 |
$40,943 |
- - |
- - |
$19,449 |
Saudi Arabia |
$8,939 |
- - |
- - |
$4,184 |
$8,939 |
- - |
- - |
$4,107 |
UAE |
$9,736 |
- - |
- - |
$4,576 |
$9,736 |
- - |
- - |
$4,492 |
Venezuela |
$2,165 |
- - |
- - |
$1,038 |
$2,165 |
- - |
- - |
$1,019 |
All of OPEC |
$2,520 |
$2,316 |
$2,121 |
$1,164 |
$2,520 |
$2,273 |
$2,044 |
$1,143 |
|
Saudi Arabia earned the largest share of these earnings, $274 billion in 2013, representing approximately one-third of total OPEC oil revenues. On a per capita basis, OPEC (excluding Iran) net oil export earnings reached about $2,520 in 2013. These net export earnings do not include Iran's revenues, because of the difficulties associated with estimating Iran's earnings, including the country's inability to receive payments and possible price discounts Iran offers its existing customers.
Based on projections from EIA's July 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA estimates that OPEC (excluding Iran) could earn about $774 billion in net oil export revenues in 2014 and $723 billion in 2015 (unadjusted for inflation). These declines from the 2013 level are the result of projected declines in the call on OPEC crude oil production because of the large increases in non-OPEC production for 2014-15, as well as expected crude oil price declines that are also the result of declines in the call on OPEC crude oil production.
Source: EIA