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US crude stocks surge, defying expectations

Wednesday, 21 May 2025 | 13:00

In the latest report from the American Petroleum Institute (API), US crude oil, gasoline, and distillate stocks have shown an unexpected increase. The actual inventory levels came in at 2.499 million barrels, a figure that sharply contrasts with the forecasted decline of 1.850 million barrels.

This unexpected increase implies weaker demand for crude oil, which could potentially bear down on crude prices. The API’s report serves as a crucial indicator of US petroleum demand, providing insight into the amount of oil and product available in storage.

When compared to the previous figure of 4.287 million barrels, the current inventory levels represent a decrease. However, the decline is less than what was forecasted, suggesting that the demand for crude oil may not be as strong as initially predicted.

Typically, if the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it suggests a bearish outlook for crude prices. Conversely, if the increase is less than expected, it implies a greater demand and a bullish outlook for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than or less than expected.

In this instance, while the actual figure is a decrease from the previous report, the fact that it is an increase against the forecast indicates a weaker demand for crude oil. This unexpected surge in US crude stocks could potentially influence the market’s outlook on crude prices, which may see a downward pressure in response to this news.

The API’s weekly crude stock report is a significant indicator, providing a snapshot of US petroleum demand. As such, the unexpected increase in crude stocks may have notable implications for the oil market in the coming weeks.
Source: Investing.com

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