A bunker fuel and oil report, detailing the day per day trading patterns
and prices in the market.The report is prepared from OW Risk Management
and covers all major bunker fuel oil markets around the world,
including all major ports, ranging from Singapore to Rotterdam.
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Yesterday Crude prices closed lower for a
second day in a row with most traders taking a risk off
approach before today's ECB Rate policy meeting. The WTI
Brent spread declined on profit taking to around
$17.50/bbl. The WTI October contract inched up +$0.06 to
close at $95.36/bbl and Brent contract slid -$1.09 to
$113.09/bbl. The inventory report by US Energy
Department will be released later today and their
expectations are as follows: Crude -5.3, Distillates
-1.9, Gasoline -3.4. However, due to Hurricane Isaac and
disruption in supply and production, Crude Oil and
product inventories are expected to draw significantly.
The market is currently focused on the ECB policy
meeting outcome and also the US labor data tomorrow.
Today we will have the US ADP Employment change before
ECB’S head speech. And later on the Initial Jobless
claims and ISM Non Manuf. Composite. Markets are just
adopting a wait-and-see attitude and it is now to the
Central Banks to deliver the goods. This morning Crude
Oil is trading higher.
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The Northwest European fuel oil prices
weakened yesterday following lower crude. Cargo prices
were down by app.$8/mt while delivered 380cst product in
Rotterdam was even weaker, down by nearly $11/mt. Buying
interest in the area remained sluggish. The Singapore
fuel oil markets plummeted more than -$13.5 during the
morning Platts window yesterday tracking crude
movements. Despite the lower price, demand was said to
be slow yesterday. The delivered bunker premiums
strengthened to $9.0- 10.0 yesterday as sellers were
reluctant to sell at lower outrights. Bunker fuel oil
swaps lost app.$8.5/mt at the front of the forward curve
both for Rotterdam and Singapore papers. The Backend was
slightly stronger, loosing app.$5.5/mt. This morning
both markets are trading slightly higher.
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Settlement
& Indications (mid values) |
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Product |
Yesterday's
Values |
Forward
Indications |
Product |
Change |
Last |
Dir. |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Q113 |
Q213 |
2013 |
NYMEX WTI Swap (1st month) |
0.06 |
95.36 |
↑ |
96.88 |
97.26 |
97.72 |
98.23 |
97.72 |
97.29 |
ICE Brent Swap (1st month) |
(1.09) |
113.09 |
↑ |
113.48 |
113.09 |
112.72 |
111.85 |
110.51 |
113.10 |
ICE Gasoil Swap (1st month) |
(16.50) |
981.50 |
↑ |
983.67 |
979.75 |
975.92 |
967.11 |
952.44 |
952.08 |
3.5% Barges FOB Rtdm |
(8.00) |
646.50 |
↑ |
654.75 |
651.00 |
647.50 |
642.25 |
632.75 |
627.50 |
3.5% Cargoes FOB Med |
(5.75) |
638.50 |
↑ |
647.50 |
645.00 |
642.00 |
637.00 |
628.00 |
623.00 |
1.0% Cargoes FOB NWE |
(12.00) |
709.00 |
↑ |
706.00 |
697.00 |
690.00 |
680.25 |
669.25 |
663.50 |
3% no. 6 USGC WB |
(0.45) |
101.70 |
↑ |
101.45 |
100.90 |
100.40 |
98.00 |
96.75 |
97.37 |
380 CST Cargoes FOB S'pore |
(13.75) |
674.75 |
↑ |
677.25 |
673.75 |
670.75 |
666.00 |
656.50 |
651.00 |
0.1 % GO Barges FOB Rtdm |
(13.75) |
980.50 |
↑ |
984.25 |
980.25 |
976.25 |
968.25 |
954.25 |
954.25 |
Physical Rotterdam 380 CST |
(11.00) |
653.25 |
↑ |
665.00 |
661.25 |
657.75 |
652.50 |
643.00 |
637.75 |
Physical Singapore 380 CST |
(13.00) |
684.75 |
↑ |
687.50 |
684.00 |
681.00 |
676.75 |
667.25 |
661.75 |
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Economy
fundamentals this week |
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Fundamental
Indicators |
Statistic |
Importance |
Date |
Time |
Period |
Consensus |
Last |
Actual |
ISM Index |
High |
04-Sep |
10:00 AM |
Aug |
49.0 |
49.8 |
49.6 |
Construction Spending |
Medium |
04-Sep |
10:00 AM |
Jul |
0.5% |
0.4% |
-0.9% |
MBA Mortgage Index |
Medium |
05-Sep |
7:00 AM |
01-Sep |
NA |
-4.3% |
-2.5% |
Productivity- Rev. |
Medium |
05-Sep |
8:30 AM |
Q2 |
1.8% |
1.6% |
2.2% |
Challanger Job Cuts |
Medium |
06-Sep |
7:30 AM |
Aug |
NA |
-44.5% |
- |
ADP Employment Change |
Medium |
06-Sep |
8:15 AM |
Aug |
150K |
163K |
- |
Initial Claims |
Medium |
06-Sep |
8:30 AM |
01-Sep |
375K |
374K |
- |
ISM Services |
Medium |
06-Sep |
10:00 AM |
Aug |
51.0 |
52.6 |
- |
Nonfarm Payrolls |
High |
07-Sep |
8:30 AM |
Aug |
140K |
163K |
- |
Unemployment Rate |
High |
07-Sep |
8:30 AM |
Aug |
8.2% |
8.3% |
- |
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Source: OW Risk Management