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Brent premium to U.S. crude hits widest in three years

Wednesday, 27 July 2022 | 16:00

The gap between the two leading crude oil benchmarks has widened to levels not seen since June 2019 as easing gasoline demand in the United States weighs on U.S. crude while tight supply supports the international Brent benchmark.

The spread is closely watched by U.S. exporters as the wide difference makes U.S. shipments more attractive to global buyers.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 closed at an $8.50 per barrel (bbl) premium to U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) CLc1 on Friday, the widest since June 2019 excluding spikes related to contract-expiry dates, Refinitiv data shows. CL-LCO1=R

“Foreign demand for American crude should increase as WTI-linked cargoes become comparatively more attractive,” Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM said.

Prices for light sweet grades on the U.S. coast have climbed this week, a signal of interest in U.S. barrels worldwide. The spread between light sweet crude at Midland WTC-WTM and the Gulf coast WTC-MEH widened to as much as 50 cents last week from an average of 30 cents earlier in the month.

“People are paying up for barrels at the coast,” one U.S.-based broker said.

Light Louisiana Sweet WTC-LLS rose to a $3.50 premium to U.S. crude futures on Friday, highest in five months.

U.S. gasoline inventories posted a larger-than-expected build on weakened demand during the peak summer driving season, according to the Energy Information Administration.

“Gasoline accounts for half of total U.S. oil consumption and serves as a barometer for the health of the world’s biggest economy, hence the impact on the WTI crude benchmark,” PVM’s Brennock said.

Brent, meanwhile, is stronger due to tight supply resulting from the loss of Russian barrels after the country’s invasion of Ukraine and persistent underproduction from OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia. Buyers are concerned that OPEC is close to running out of spare capacity, limiting its ability to raise output further.

The supply tightness pushed Brent’s intermonth spreads LCOc1-LCOc2 to $4.82/bbl on Friday, the widest backwardation on record when excluding expiry-related peaks in the last two months. In a backwardated market, front-month prices are higher than those in future months, signalling tight supplies.

This compares with backwardation in WTI intermonth spreads CLc1-CLc2 of $2.27/bbl on Friday.
Source: Reuters (Reporting by Rowena Edwards in London and Arathy Somasekhar in Houston; editing by David Evans and Bernadette Baum)

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